Watch resistance at the 50 day moving average, take two
Everything looked fine and dandy yesterday for the market, and resistance at the 50-day moving average that I talked about in yesterday’s trading plan, was going to be broken. But with 10 minutes to go, the bears dropped the S&P 500 5 points and, despite a solid rally yesterday, closed the index a half point below the 50-day moving average.
That makes follow through today, extremely, extremely important. And that is one thing that this market has lacked of late is any kind of real follow through. The last bounce that we had on Monday, did not have that follow through and over the last two months there have been numerous attempts at a bounce but all but one of them failed to ever get any follow through the next day. The only one that did follow through was the rally off of the 3/27 lows.
You also have downward resistance off of the 3/1 highs that the bulls are dealing with today, that if it breaks would also represent a breakout of the bull flag. Once again, the bulls were above this declining resistance level, until the last 10 minutes of trading when SPX sold off 5 points. As a result, it tabled the bull flag break out as well.
Yesterday’s move, as nice as it was on the whole for the bulls, means nothing if there isn’t a respectable amount of follow through today.
S&P 500 Chart
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