It’s no secret that Value has been cold lately. Although many such stocks have moved off their lows, Value ETFs are, on average, still down 3.68 % in the past year. This does not, however, mean it’s now a bad idea to choose stocks whose prices are reasonable relative to fundamentals. It does, however, mean we have to be especially careful about the fundamentals. The Essence of Value Value is not, never was and can never be just about low ratios. Anybody who sorts on the basis of P/E, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow etc. and simply buys stocks at the low end of the spectrum is asking for trouble. They may not always get smacked – Lady Luck ...
Gold has been an incredibly interesting commodity to watch throughout the beginning of the year 2016, and for good reason. Throughout most of the year thus far, the commodity has gained in value dramatically. However, last week, we saw dramatic movement, and it wasn’t in the positive direction. Recent economic data out of the United States showed strength, leading to declines in the value of the precious metal. Now the big question is, “Where will gold go next?” Today, we’ll talk about the economic data that sent the value of the precious metal downward last week, why it has any affect on the price of gold, what this could mean for g...
WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market initially fell during the course of the day on Friday but turned back around to form a hammer. This was preceded by a hammer on Thursday as well, so it looks like bullish pressure is starting to pick up. With this being the case, we could continue to test the $50 level, and eventually break out above it. I don’t think it’s going to be easy though, so more than likely any pullback should be a buying opportunity as it represents of value overall. Once we break above the $50 level, the market should be more or less in a “buy-and-hold” type of situation. As far selling is concerned, it’s all but im...
The following is the opening segment of this week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 396. The report also covers, in detail, the technical status of US/Global stock markets, precious metals, commodities, currencies and even a few individual gold miners and a couple of new (non-gold related) NFTRH+ trade ideas. In January of 2013 we noted that the “Canary’s Canary” chirped and signaled an economic up phase (such as it was) on the horizon. The Canary was the Semiconductor sector, which is cyclical and economically sensitive. The Canary’s Canary is the Semi Equipment sector, manned by the likes of Applied Materials and Lam Resea...
As the bull market in precious metals stocks heats up investors will be looking for new opportunities and ideas to assist with their decisions as to which companies to invest. One of the big name newsletter’s in the PM sector is recommending subscribers buy the shares of Osisko Gold Royalties (OR.TO) (OKSKF). What they do not tell you is that there are stock warrants trading on Osisko, not one warrant but two warrants. Before I tell you which of the two warrants you should consider, allow me to tell you about the company. Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd. was created following the friendly $4.3B acquisition of Osisko Mining Corporation by Agnico...
The British pound was the strongest currency last week, rising broadly and closing 1.01% higher against the dollar. The gains in the Sterling came with opinion polls showing the stay camp taking a lead over the ‘leave’ camp in the Brexit polls. Economic data was also supportive with retail sales rising more than expected while weaker fundamentals such as inflation and a flat labor market performance were broadly ignored. Weekly Spot FX Performance – 20/05/2016 (Source: Finviz.com) The yen and the Swiss franc were the weakest currencies last week as improved market sentiment saw the safe haven currencies give back the gains. Both the ...
Teekay Offshore Partners (TOO) is a marine energy transportation, storage and production company, and its preferred units currently offer an attractive 10.1% distribution yield. Teekay’s common units have declined over 70% in the last year, while the preferred units have declined around 12% during that same time period. The common units drastically cut their distribution payment earlier this year due to energy market and liquidity challenges, however we believe the cut is actually a good thing for the preferred units. Specifically, the common unit distribution cut frees up more cash to support the big preferred distribution payments which h...
Andy’s Notes: Topics include the media, failed policies, and 2016’s stock market whiplash. I encourage you to check out all of Joe’s interviews on Liberty Talk Radio; it might be the best kept secret in the alternative media. Audio Length – 01:09:08...
The New Zealand dollar dropped under the weight of the greenback and settled in a lower range. Trade balance and the annual budget release are this week’s events. Here is an analysis of fundamentals and an updated technical analysis for NZD/USD. There were quite a few releases in New Zealand in the past week, but they basically balanced each other. Inflation expectations remained unchanged at 1.6%, milk prices advanced by 2.6% but PPI Input fell by 1%. On the other side of the Pacific, the Fed’s meeting minutes were hawkish boosting the US dollar on higher expectations for a rate hike in June. Updates: NZD/USD daily graph with supp...
A slim majority of hedge fund managers are in the red year to date, through April, according to the latest report from Eurekahedge. Specifically, 51.4% of managers have negative YTD performance. Over the same period in 2015, the analogous number was only 21.2%. That is a good indication of what a difficult period this is for the AI industry worldwide. On the other hand, long/short equity funds were the only strategy in the negative YTD. It was down 1.35%, which is its worst YTD figure since 2008. Yet even long-short equity funds were positive for the month of April. All the strategic mandates were up for the month so often associated with i...