Browsing All Posts By Kurt Osterberg
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Finance 0
US Dollar At Risk As Political Jitters Rattle Financial Markets
Fundamental Forecast for the US Dollar: Neutral UK election may drive risk aversion, hurt Fed rate hike bets Comey testimony may stoke uncertainty fears, sour sentiment Efforts to loosen US finan... -
Finance 0
Speculators Make Small Adjustments, But Like That Peso
Speculators in the future market made mostly minor adjustments in the gross positioning in the currencies. Ten of the 16 gross positions we track were adjusted by less than 3k contracts. There was... -
Finance 0
Trade Deficit In Pictures: China, Mexico, Canada, Germany, Japan, EU
Trump’s howling about the US trade deficit with Mexico, Canada, Germany, the EU, etc, has me thinking about how to portray the result in pictures. Data is from the latest Census Department report on... -
Finance 0
Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 5 And June 12
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. ` Forecast Prior Observation Consensus Week of June 5 June 5 Productivity – Q1 (r) -0.1% -0.6 -0.2 Unit L... -
Finance 0
Gold Miners In 2017 Whipsaw
Ever since 2012’s failure of the ‘QE 3 rally’ in the precious metals it has not been fruitful to micro manage the gold sector, because that failure jump started a savage bear market that would n... -
Finance 0
E SPX Fast Approaching Final Phase Of Rally
VIX declined to challenge the May 9 low, but did not exceed it. Today’s low qualifies as a retracement low and potentially opens the door for new highs. A rally above mid-Cycle resistance at 15.22 i... -
Finance 0
Market Thoughts: Trading The Italian Yield Curve
TRADING THE ITALIAN YIELD CURVE I’ll start out today with my most substantive thought. It will constitute most of this note. My methodology here won’t be rigorous; my intention is not to m... -
Finance 0
The Longer-Term Trend – Saturday, June 3
The Longer-Term Outlook The market really turned around this week. It felt significant because a number of important indicators were pointing to trouble in the market. For me, the most important indic... -
Finance 0
Week In Review: Hong Kong’s Cirina Merges With GRAIL For Early Stage Cancer Diagnostics
Deals and Financings Cirina, a Hong Kong cancer diagnostics company, will merge with GRAIL, a Menlo Park startup, which is also developing non-invasive early-stage molecular cancer diagnostics (see s... -
Finance 0
BLS Report Shows 138,000 Jobs Created
The ADP May private sector jobs report on Thursday signaled a great BLS jobs report would come on Friday. Sometimes the ADP report doesn’t indicate how the BLS report will be. This was one of thos...
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