Analyst/trader Gregory Mannarino says the Federal Reserve just did an about-face on raising interest rates in a matter of weeks. Mannarino contends, “This is incredible and hard to get my head around. This has got to be the flip-flop of all flip-flops. At the last FOMC meeting, Janet Yellen was practically pounding the table talking about how they were going to be continuing to raise rates, that they are going to start unloading their balance sheet here, and then she does an absolute 180. I am sitting there in real time watching it (this past week). My face dropped, and the moment I heard this, I started buying everything I could… I thought this is it. The market is going to keep going higher… The Federal Reserve has created a freaking monster. These distortions are now going to get much worse because Janet Yellen has given these markets the green light to go record up, record up and record up.”
But not everything is distorted upward. The dollar is going down, and Mannarino says, “It is interesting to see what’s happening to the U.S. dollar. It’s getting melted down… Janet Yellen has promised to keep interest rates suppressed artificially. There is no normalization in sight for the Fed balance sheet, and the dollar is going to continue its downward trajectory.”
Don’t get comfortable with the Fed or all the other central banks keeping this all going forever. Mannarino says mistakes will be made and contends, “The Federal Reserve never had a plan to do this, and it never had a plan to unwind their $4.5 trillion balance sheet. They are flying by the seat of their pants. This is uncharted territory, and the Federal Reserve does not have one, not one viable model to gauge how this is going to affect our economy or the global economy as they try to normalize their massively abnormal balance sheet. There is huge potential for mistakes to be made. Would anybody be surprised if the Fed gets it wrong once again? The Fed is always wrong. The Fed is never, ever, ever right.”
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